Will 2023 Be a Year of Slow Growth, But Better Markets?
Season 05 Episode 07
2022 has been a brutal year for investors, with unusually large sell-offs in both stocks and bonds, resulting in one of the worst years ever for balanced investing. However, 2023 may be the calm after the storm of this year, with markets stabilizing, inflation receding, and the Fed nearing the end of its tightening cycle. On the last episode of this season, Dr. Kelly is joined by Jack Manley, Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the key takeaways from their Investment Outlook for 2023.
Bonds are Back
Season 05 Episode 06
Higher rates and rising inflation have created a particularly challenging environment for bonds this year. While economic uncertainties remain about the timing of a Fed pivot and the potential for U.S. recession, the case for bonds is as strong as it’s been in over a decade. Dr. David Kelly and Bob Michele, CIO and Head of the Global Fixed Income, Currency & Commodities group, discuss the outlook for fixed-income markets and how investors can take advantage of opportunities the current climate provides.
The Implications of Divided Government
Season 05 Episode 05
Earlier this month, Americans went to the polls for the midterm elections. While some were expecting a red wave, what resulted was more of a red ripple, with Republicans garnering a slim majority in the House and Democrats likely maintaining control of the Senate. In this episode, Dr. Kelly is joined by Michelle Mesack, Head of Federal Government Relations at JP Morgan Chase, and Meera Pandit, Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, to discuss the main takeaways for investors from the midterm elections.
The Future of Globalization
Season 05 Episode 04
The global pandemic, supply chain problems and heightened geopolitical tensions from Russia’s war in Ukraine have all raised questions about whether the long trend toward globalization is being thrown into reverse. Our 2023 Long Term Capital Market Assumptions, available now, features a paper that tackles the future of globalization. In this episode, Stephanie Aliaga interviews two of the authors from the paper, Dr. David Kelly and Kerry Craig, to discuss the potential future paths of globalization, and the implications of a multi-polar world order for the global economy, inflation, and valuations.
Cross-Currents for Corporate Profits
Season 05 Episode 03
Higher inflation, higher interest rates, and slowing consumer demand have all posed considerable headwinds to U.S. equities and contributed to the large selloffs experienced in markets this year. In this episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by David Lebovitz, Global Market Strategist for J.P. Morgan Asset Management, for a discussion on the outlook for U.S. equities and what investors can expect from the 3Q22 earnings season.
Europe’s Energy Crisis and the UK Response
Season 05 Episode 02
In an already challenging year for markets, the energy crisis in Europe and recent fiscal actions by the UK government have rattled market sentiment and caused further disruption to currency and global bond markets, with a higher reliance on Russian supply putting Europe in a particularly vulnerable position as winter approaches. On today’s episode, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Hugh Gimber, Global Market Strategist, to shed some light on these issues and the outlook going forward for the UK and Europe.
The Fed: Hiking Up a Hill of Uncertainty
Season 05 Episode 01
This episode kicks off our fifth season of Insights Now. Over the course of this season, Dr. David Kelly will sit down with a slate of market strategists and subject matter experts to discuss topics such as the implications of aggressive Fed tightening, the European energy crisis, equity market volatility, and the future of globalization to try to provide some insight into investing in this very stormy climate. In this episode, we tackle important questions for investors surrounding the outlook for the Federal Reserve with our fixed income strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, Jordan Jackson.
Investing in Troubled Times
Season 04 Episode 11
Investors have had a challenging year so far. While the outlook remains cloudy, much of the “bad news” might already be priced into markets, and investors may be wise to take advantage of the correction in valuations to position portfolios for the expansion ahead. For the last episode this season, Dr. David Kelly is joined by Jack Manley, Global Market Strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management, for an insightful conversation on navigating investing in troubled times.
Alternatives in a Higher Rate, Slower Growth World
Season 04 Episode 10
2022 has been a challenging year for most public asset classes, leaving many investors at odds on how to position portfolios, protect against inflation, and identify areas for potential excess returns going forward. While markets have been more challenging, the need for income, capital appreciation, and capital preservation has not changed. That’s where alternative investments may provide some solutions.
The Labor Market: Cyclical Strength and Structural Change
Season 04 Episode 09
Today, as investors mull the increasing risk of a U.S. recession, the strength in the labor market can be a double-edged sword. In this episode, Dr. David Kelly is interviewed by Stephanie Aliaga, Research Analyst, to discuss the latest jobs report, the outlook for the labor market, and our latest thoughts on the risk of a recession in 2022 or 2023.
